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Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod host Shimshon Tel Aviv in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Maccabi Ironi Ashdod have averaged 2 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Shimshon Tel Aviv's 1.36 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Maccabi Ironi Ashdod slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.56, favoring Shimshon Tel Aviv. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35%
Draws
41%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Maccabi Ironi Ashdod haven't matched Shimshon Tel Aviv's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 20%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Shimshon Tel Aviv
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:1
Oct 31, 2024 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0:1
Mar 15, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 36 / 100
Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Shimshon Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shimshon Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod scored in 91% of their last 22 games.

Shimshon Tel Aviv let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Recent resilience: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod VS Shimshon Tel Aviv
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Home)
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 5

Shimshon Tel Aviv

(Away)
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
03 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)