Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Jaffa vs M. Nazareth

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sabah M.
18' Event
Elbaz S.
45' Event
Stephens A.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Maccabi Jaffa and M. Nazareth finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Nazareth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Maccabi Jaffa
15%
Draws
59%
M. Nazareth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Jaffa come out ahead of M. Nazareth on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 16%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Jaffa M. Nazareth
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs M. Nazareth
1:2
Jan 25, 2024 State Cup
M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Jaffa
1:3
Mar 3, 2023 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:4
Nov 11, 2022 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs M. Nazareth
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Elbaz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabah M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stephens A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Jaffa 31 / 100
M. Nazareth 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Jaffa M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick M. Nazareth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Jaffa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

M. Nazareth has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Maccabi Jaffa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Jaffa VS M. Nazareth
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Jaffa

(Home)
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
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M. Nazareth

(Away)
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
Hapoel Afula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Yehuda 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
3 H. Ironi Rishon 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
4 H. Raanana 6 4 0 2 16:8 12
5 Maccabi Bnei Raina 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
6 Hapoel Afula 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Kiryat Yam 6 3 0 3 18:12 9
8 M. Herzliya 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
9 Kiryat Gat 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
10 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 6 2 2 2 12:15 8
11 MS Kafr Qasim 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
12 M. Nazareth 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Hapoel Kfar Saba 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
14 Ironi Modiin 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
15 Maccabi Jaffa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
16 Hapoel Akko 6 0 0 6 0:19 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)