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Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef North. This has Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik written all over it on paper. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's 1.55 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik have won 1 to Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
35%
Draws
28%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm haven't matched Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.71 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
3:5
Jan 28, 2024 State Cup
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2:0
Feb 18, 2019 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:1
Oct 15, 2018 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 76 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

(Home)
09 Oct
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
24 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
5 : 3
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
19 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 4
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
09 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
3 : 1
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2
Nof Hagalil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)