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Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bakr Z.
29' Event
Khaldi M.
35' Event
Khalil W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad and Hapoel Ironi Arraba finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
30%
Draws
23%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad come out ahead of Hapoel Ironi Arraba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Matches Played 19 21
Wins 5 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.68 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
4:1
Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
3:1
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0:0
Nov 29, 2024 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bakr Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaldi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 85 / 100
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Ironi Arraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Ironi Arraba let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Hapoel Ironi Arraba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad VS Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

(Home)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
01 Oct
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
2 : 0
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
24 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
09 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
3 : 1
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

(Away)
09 Oct
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
19 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 4
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
10 Sept
MS Tira
4 : 0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)