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Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Khalil W.
18' Event
Douev S.
20' Event
Suleiman M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
30%
Draws
47%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Clean Sheet 23%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2:4
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Feb 14, 2025 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalil W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suleiman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Compare

Top Goalscorer Douev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saker S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 24 / 100
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad scored in 58% of their last 19 outings.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad VS Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

(Home)
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
01 Oct
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
2 : 0
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
24 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
09 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
3 : 1
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
05 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)