Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Nof Hagalil

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Hazan L.
44' Event
Azulay D.
44' Event
Hazan L.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Petah Tikva in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
33%
Draws
27%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maccabi Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva have won more games recently than Nof Hagalil.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Petah Tikva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 20%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Nof Hagalil
5:1
Nov 7, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:0
Apr 30, 2024 State Cup
Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:3
Dec 23, 2022 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Nof Hagalil
0:2
Aug 22, 2022 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Hazan L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Cortes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Azulay D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 40 / 100
Nof Hagalil 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Nof Hagalil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Maccabi Petah Tikva's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Nof Hagalil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Maccabi Petah Tikva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Nof Hagalil
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
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Nof Hagalil

(Away)
25 May
Nof Hagalil
2 : 2
Hapoel Akko
19 May
Nof Hagalil
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1
Nof Hagalil
04 May
Maccabi Jaffa
2 : 0
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)