Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Shaarayim vs Holon Yermiyahu

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hak O.
(Penalty)
22' Event
De Wendler D.
40' Event
Yosef K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2024/2025 game between Maccabi Shaarayim and Holon Yermiyahu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holon Yermiyahu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maccabi Shaarayim
33%
Draws
40%
Holon Yermiyahu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Holon Yermiyahu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Shaarayim haven't matched Holon Yermiyahu's recent run of results.
  • Holon Yermiyahu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Maccabi Shaarayim Clean Sheet 19%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Shaarayim Holon Yermiyahu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Shaarayim
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Shaarayim vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:2
Jan 5, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Shaarayim
0:2
Feb 16, 2023 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs Maccabi Shaarayim
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Shaarayim Compare

Top Goalscorer De Wendler D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Holon Yermiyahu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yosef K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Shaarayim 28 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Shaarayim Holon Yermiyahu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holon Yermiyahu let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Shaarayim scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Maccabi Shaarayim went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holon Yermiyahu
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Shaarayim

(Home)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
22 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
3 : 4
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
08 Apr
Tzeirei Tira
1 : 0
Maccabi Shaarayim
04 Apr
Maccabi Shaarayim
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
28 Mar
FC Dimona
0 : 2
Maccabi Shaarayim
Page 1 of 6

Holon Yermiyahu

(Away)
27 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
20 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
1 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
13 Feb
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Beitar Yavne
05 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
30 Jan
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs (Main)