Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Camara M.
37'
Sahiti E.
37'
Sahiti E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Beitar Jerusalem finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beitar Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
15%
Draws
35%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Beitar Jerusalem on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Tel Aviv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 15%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:2
May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:2
Feb 16, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
2:6
May 24, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Atzili O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 84 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Maccabi Tel Aviv remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Beitar Jerusalem let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Beitar Jerusalem
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Home)
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1
Lugano
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Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 H. Beer Sheva 36 24 7 5 79:38 79
2 Beitar Jerusalem 36 22 10 4 78:40 76
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 19 9 8 72:46 66
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv 36 18 8 10 55:35 60
5 Maccabi Haifa 36 15 10 11 66:47 55
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva 36 9 13 14 48:57 40
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
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