Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Jehezkel S.
26'
Sissokho I.
30'
Blorian O.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv host H. Beer Sheva in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. H. Beer Sheva have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Tel Aviv have conceded 1.25 and scored 2. Past meetings favor H. Beer Sheva slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward H. Beer Sheva. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
39%
Draws
31%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • H. Beer Sheva has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 13%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 State Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:2
Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 30 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv H. Beer Sheva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

H. Beer Sheva let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H. Beer Sheva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS H. Beer Sheva
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740