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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hapoel Haifa in the Ligat ha'Al. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 2.19 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Hapoel Haifa's 1.32 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
35%
Draws
21%
Hapoel Haifa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maccabi Tel Aviv lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Haifa.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Tel Aviv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maccabi Tel Aviv have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Haifa
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:4
Dec 27, 2025 State Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
5:0
Dec 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 84 / 100
Hapoel Haifa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Maccabi Tel Aviv remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Haifa let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Hapoel Haifa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Home)
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Maccabi Haifa
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1
Lugano
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Hapoel Haifa

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)