Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa

Israel Israel

State Cup Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Varela H.
25' Event
Davida O.
30' Event
Abu Farhi S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Maccabi Tel Aviv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
40%
Draws
29%
Hapoel Haifa
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Hapoel Haifa on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Haifa
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:4
Dec 27, 2025 State Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
5:0
Dec 3, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Davida O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Varela H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 32 / 100
Hapoel Haifa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hapoel Haifa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Hapoel Haifa
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Home)
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Alashkert
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

Hapoel Haifa

(Away)
18 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
2 : 0
Vora
15 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 1
Teuta
10 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Shmona
18 May
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 0
Sakhnin
13 May
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Tirat Karmel0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Nes Tziona1
Hapoel Karmiel2
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera-
TBD-
Hapoel Sderot FC2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm7
FC Beer Sheva0
TBD-
Kiryat Yam-
Beitar Haifa0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5
TBD-
Hapoel Ramat Gan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula-
TBD-
Tzeirey Um El Fahem0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Akko-
Kfar Saba 19282
Maccabi Yavne0
TBD-
H. Ironi Rishon-
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya1
Bnei Jaffa4
Jerusalem FC6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1
TBD-
H. Raanana-
Kiryat Haim1
Hapoel Yarka2
Kfar Kama0
Kiryat Gat1
Ironi Modiin-
TBD-
M. Nazareth2
Beitar Ramat Gan1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0
Shimshon Tel Aviv2
TBD-
MS Kafr Qasim-
Shikun Hamizrah0
Holon Yermiyahu5
TBD-
Nof Hagalil-
Ironi Or Yehuda1
FC Dimona3
TBD-
Maccabi Petah Tikva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva-
TBD-
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
Hapoel Karmiel4
Maccabi Bnei Raina-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Shalem-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Hapoel Hadera3
Hapoel Sderot FC4
Hapoel Jerusalem-
TBD-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
Kiryat Yam1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2
Hapoel Ramat Gan3
TBD-
Shmona-
Ironi Tiberias-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Yehuda-
TBD-
Hapoel Afula2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3
M. Herzliya2
Hapoel Akko0
Kfar Saba 19281
H. Ironi Rishon0
Bnei Jaffa1
Jerusalem FC0
TBD-
Netanya-
Sakhnin-
TBD-
TBD-
Maccabi Jaffa-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Ashdod-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Hapoel Haifa-
Jadeidi-Makr0
H. Raanana1
Hapoel Yarka0
Kiryat Gat4
Ironi Modiin1
M. Nazareth3
TBD-
Maccabi Haifa-
Shimshon Tel Aviv0
MS Kafr Qasim2
Holon Yermiyahu1
Nof Hagalil0
FC Dimona1
Maccabi Petah Tikva0
TBD-
Hapoel Kfar Saba-
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Hapoel Karmiel1
Maccabi Bnei Raina1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem0
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Sderot FC1
Hapoel Jerusalem2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0
Hapoel Ramat Gan2
Shmona3
Ironi Tiberias1
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik1
M. Herzliya4
Kfar Saba 19281
Bnei Jaffa0
Netanya6
Sakhnin0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
SC Ashdod0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Hapoel Haifa0
H. Raanana4
Kiryat Gat3
M. Nazareth1
Maccabi Haifa8
MS Kafr Qasim3
Holon Yermiyahu1
FC Dimona1
Hapoel Kfar Saba3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
Shmona0
Beitar Jerusalem2
Yehuda1
M. Herzliya0
Netanya0
Maccabi Jaffa2
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
H. Raanana0
Maccabi Haifa1
MS Kafr Qasim1
Hapoel Kfar Saba0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
H. Beer Sheva3
Beitar Jerusalem1
Yehuda2
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
Maccabi Haifa2
MS Kafr Qasim0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva3
Yehuda2
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
Final
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2