Sport Picks
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hapoel Tel Aviv have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Tel Aviv have conceded 1.07 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.44, favoring Maccabi Tel Aviv. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maccabi Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Hapoel Tel Aviv let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.