Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hapoel Tel Aviv have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Maccabi Tel Aviv have conceded 1.07 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.44, favoring Maccabi Tel Aviv. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
20%
Draws
42%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead of Hapoel Tel Aviv on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
4:1
May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 State Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 30 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Tel Aviv let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Home)
19 Oct
Beitar Jerusalem
0 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10 Oct
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 0
Sakhnin
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
17 Oct
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
10 Oct
Shmona
1 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Netanya 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1
Shmona 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 2
Final
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -