Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Mottley-Henry D.
82'
82'
Bainbridge J.
AI Match Summary
Chester in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macclesfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Macclesfield at 1.83 per game, Chester at 1.38.
- Win probability leans Macclesfield's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 20%
Chester Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macclesfield | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Chester
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Chester
0:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Macclesfield
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Macclesfield vs Chester
0:1
Apr 2, 2018 National League
Macclesfield vs Chester
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macclesfield Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Mottley-Henry D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bainbridge J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Macclesfield 36 / 100
Chester 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Macclesfield Chester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macclesfield scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Macclesfield stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Chester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Macclesfield VS Chester
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Macclesfield
(Home) 08 Aug
Marine
0 : 1 Macclesfield
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0 United of Manchester
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1 Macclesfield
25 Jul
Altrincham
2 : 5 Macclesfield
21 Jul
Warrington Town
2 : 2 Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Macclesfield
2 : 0 United of Manchester
18 Jul
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Wolves U21
04 Jul
Macclesfield
3 : 0 Hyde
29 Apr
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Chester
21 Apr
Macclesfield
2 : 1 Southport
Page 1 of 3
Chester
(Away) 08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
01 Aug
Chester
0 : 0 Crewe
28 Jul
Nantwich
0 : 3 Chester
24 Jul
Hyde
0 : 1 Chester
21 Jul
Chester
0 : 1 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Chorley
1 : 2 Chester
28 Jul
Nantwich
0 : 3 Chester
24 Jul
Hyde
0 : 1 Chester
18 Jul
Warrington Town
0 : 2 Chester
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Chester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
