Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Machico vs Camacha

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
2 - 3
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Machico
35%
Draws
38%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Camacha's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Machico have produced (1.07).
  • Machico are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Camacha, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%
Camacha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico Camacha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Machico vs Camacha
2:3
Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Machico
2:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Camacha
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Machico vs Camacha
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Machico
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 59 / 100
Camacha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machico's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Camacha has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Machico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS Camacha
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 6

Camacha

(Away)
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
16 Aug
Camacha
1 : 1
SC Salgueiros
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
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Lagoa -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
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FC Felgueiras -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
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AFS -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
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Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
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Feirense -
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
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Leixoes -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
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Leiria -
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
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Academica -
Castro Daire -
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Portimonense -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
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SC Farense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
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Chaves -
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
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Figueirense -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
Anca -
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Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
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Lajense -
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
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Amarante FC -
ACDR Lamelas -
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Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
Olhanense -
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Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Santarem -
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Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
Imortal -
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Tondela -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
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Tirsense -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
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Vinhais -
UD Ovarense -
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Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Amora -
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Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
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1/64-finals
Atletico CP -
Lagoa -
Naval 1893 -
FC Felgueiras -
Sintrense -
AFS -
Mortagua FC -
Leca -
Oliveirense -
Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros -
Feirense -
Cinfaes -
Leixoes -
O Elvas CAD -
Leiria -
Real SC -
Academica -
Castro Daire -
Portimonense -
Sacavenense -
SC Farense -
Vila Pouca -
Brito -
Guarda FC -
Chaves -
Alcains -
Vitoria Setubal -
Bombarralense -
Vizela -
Fazendense -
Figueirense -
GD Alcochetense -
C.F. Benfica -
Oliveira Hospital -
Juv. Evora -
Beira Mar -
CF Os Belenenses -
AD Limianos -
Aljustrelense -
Serpa -
Louletano -
FC Alpendorada -
Macao -
Anca -
Sanjoanense -
Camacha -
Florgrade -
AD Fafe -
Lajense -
FC Madalena -
Lusitania FC -
Ponte da Barca -
Amarante FC -
ACDR Lamelas -
Santo Antonio -
Olhanense -
Portel -
Santarem -
Merelinense -
Vitoria Sernache -
Varzim -
AD Marco 09 -
Maia Lidador -
GD Braganca -
Celoricense -
Paredes -
Maria de Fonte -
Imortal -
Tondela -
Mafra -
Tirsense -
Fatima -
Vinhais -
UD Ovarense -
Os Marialvas -
Amora -
Uniao Da Serra -
Estrela Calheta -
SC Vianense -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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