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Machico vs CD Ribeira Brava Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
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Match Events

72' Event
Nunes Moreira Santos E.

AI Match Summary

Machico in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Machico
20%
Draws
0%
CD Ribeira Brava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Machico have won more games recently than CD Ribeira Brava.
  • Model gives Machico a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Machico Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico CD Ribeira Brava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.72 0.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs CD Ribeira Brava
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Ribeira Brava vs Machico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes Moreira Santos E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.86

CD Ribeira Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 95 / 100
CD Ribeira Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico CD Ribeira Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Machico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ribeira Brava has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: CD Ribeira Brava registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Machico found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS CD Ribeira Brava
1 Goals Scored 0.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.43
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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CD Ribeira Brava

(Away)
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3
Brito
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
25 Mar
AD Limianos
3 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)