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Machico vs GD Braganca Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Miranda G.
57'
Danny
57'
Danny

AI Match Summary

Machico in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Machico
30%
Draws
43%
GD Braganca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Machico haven't matched GD Braganca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GD Braganca a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Machico Clean Sheet 21%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machico GD Braganca
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.09 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs GD Braganca
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Machico
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lourenco O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

GD Braganca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machico 10 / 100
GD Braganca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machico GD Braganca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Machico found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

GD Braganca has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Machico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Machico VS GD Braganca
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Machico

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
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GD Braganca

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)