Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Machida Zelvia vs Svay Rieng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Machida GION Stadium, Machida
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Duke M.
26'
Hammouti F.
46'
Sub
Duke M. In: Yengi T.
Out: Duke M.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 game between Machida Zelvia and Svay Rieng finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Machida Zelvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Machida Zelvia
20%
Draws
33%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Machida Zelvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Machida Zelvia come out ahead of Svay Rieng on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 20%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Machida Zelvia Svay Rieng
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Machida Zelvia vs Svay Rieng
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Machida Zelvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Duke M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yengi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 1.04

Svay Rieng Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Machida Zelvia 32 / 100
Svay Rieng 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Machida Zelvia Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Machida Zelvia found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Svay Rieng has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Machida Zelvia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Machida Zelvia VS Svay Rieng
2.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Machida Zelvia

(Home)
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Svay Rieng

(Away)
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)