Sport Picks
Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
Emperors Cup Machida GION Stadium, Machida 
Match Events
22'
22'
Duke M.
24'
24'
Caletti J.
56'
56'
Sub
Nguen T. In: Masukake Y.
Out: Nguen T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Machida Zelvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tochigi City haven't matched Machida Zelvia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Machida Zelvia a 85% chance of winning this.
- Machida Zelvia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Machida Zelvia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Emperors Cup
Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Machida Zelvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Duke M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogawa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Tochigi City Compare
Top Goalscorer Koike Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Machida Zelvia 85 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Machida Zelvia Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Machida Zelvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Machida Zelvia found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Tochigi City's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Tochigi City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Machida Zelvia VS Tochigi City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Machida Zelvia
(Home) 03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 4
Tochigi City
(Away) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
