Sport Picks
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds
Japan
J1 League Machida GION Stadium, Machida 
Match Events
8'
8'
Nakamura H.
Assist: Duke M.
45'
45'
Watanabe R.
Assist: Kaneko T.
46'
46'
Sub
Duke M. In: Nishimura T.
Out: Duke M.
AI Match Summary
Machida Zelvia in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Machida Zelvia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Machida Zelvia lately — more wins on the board than Urawa Reds.
- Machida Zelvia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 17%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Machida Zelvia | Urawa Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds
3:1
May 22, 2026 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Machida Zelvia
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Machida Zelvia
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Reds
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Machida Zelvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakamura H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nishimura T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Urawa Reds Compare
Top Goalscorer Watanabe R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Machida Zelvia 41 / 100
Urawa Reds 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Machida Zelvia Urawa Reds
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Machida Zelvia's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Defensive concern: Urawa Reds conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Machida Zelvia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Machida Zelvia VS Urawa Reds
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Machida Zelvia
(Home) 23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0 Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
02 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 4
Urawa Reds
(Away) 19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
29 Aug
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
23 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 1 Urawa Reds
07 Aug
Gamba Osaka
4 : 3 Urawa Reds
17 Jul
Ryukyu
5 : 4 Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
