Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Mbaoma V.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Mbaoma V.
58'
58'
Alsmani A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tusker
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Tusker.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Madani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Madani Clean Sheet 19%
Tusker Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madani | Tusker |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Tusker vs Madani
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Madani vs Tusker
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madani Compare
Top Goalscorer Alsmani A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Tusker Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbaoma V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madani 32 / 100
Tusker 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madani Tusker
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madani's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tusker's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Madani went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Madani VS Tusker
1.71 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Madani
(Home) 12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0 Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2 Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0 Madani
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
29 May
Madani
3 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
15 May
Madani
1 : 3 Al-Merreikh II
Page 1 of 3
Tusker
(Away) 12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0 Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3 Tusker
01 Aug
Tusker
2 : 0 KVZ
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1 Rayon Sport
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2 Tusker
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3 Tusker
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0 Tusker
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0 Tusker
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0 Tusker
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -
