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Stadium Background

Madla IL vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Galan M.
57'
Skjaeveland V.
69'
Dessingue M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Madla IL
15%
Draws
41%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Madla IL have won more games recently than Varhaug.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Varhaug
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.45 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Madla IL vs Varhaug
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Galan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Bo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 29 / 100
Varhaug 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madla IL scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Madla IL stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Varhaug's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Varhaug
3 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
31 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
17 Aug
Viking 2
1 : 1
Madla IL
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
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Varhaug

(Away)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
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