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Madla IL vs Vindbjart

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madla IL host Vindbjart in the Division 3 - Group 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vindbjart have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Madla IL have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Vindbjart slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back Vindbjart to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Madla IL
22%
Draws
60%
Vindbjart
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vindbjart come out ahead of Madla IL on wins alone.
  • Vindbjart are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 11%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Vindbjart
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
5:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 18 / 100
Vindbjart 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Vindbjart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madla IL found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Vindbjart conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Madla IL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Vindbjart
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
25 Jul
Madla IL
5 : 1
Flekkeroy
27 Jun
Madla IL
2 : 2
Mandalskameratene
22 Jun
Haugesund 2
3 : 2
Madla IL
13 Jun
Madla IL
3 : 1
Akra
30 May
Vindbjart
2 : 2
Madla IL
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Vindbjart

(Away)
25 Jul
Hinna
0 : 7
Vindbjart
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
21 Jun
Akra
0 : 2
Vindbjart
13 Jun
Vindbjart
4 : 0
Haugesund 2
30 May
Vindbjart
2 : 2
Madla IL
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