Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madla IL vs Vindbjart

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Marchewka N.
20' Event
Gummedal D. S.
43' Event
Gummedal D. S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Madla IL and Vindbjart finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madla IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Madla IL
15%
Draws
27%
Vindbjart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madla IL come out ahead of Vindbjart on wins alone.
  • Madla IL are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madla IL Vindbjart
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
4:3
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vindbjart vs Madla IL
5:2
Jun 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Madla IL vs Vindbjart
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Dessingue M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marchewka N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Gummedal D. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Svela S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madla IL 83 / 100
Vindbjart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madla IL Vindbjart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madla IL found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Madla IL remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Vindbjart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Madla IL VS Vindbjart
3.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Madla IL

(Home)
26 Sept
Akra
0 : 6
Madla IL
21 Sept
Madla IL
1 : 1
Haugesund 2
12 Sept
Hinna
1 : 4
Madla IL
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
31 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
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Vindbjart

(Away)
26 Sept
Brodd
0 : 2
Vindbjart
19 Sept
Vindbjart
0 : 1
Mandalskameratene
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
05 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 0
Hinna
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