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Madrid CFF W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Spain Spain

Copa de la Reina Women Estadio Fernando Torres
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madrid CFF W play Costa Adeje Tenerife W in the Copa de la Reina Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madrid CFF W averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Costa Adeje Tenerife W averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Madrid CFF W won 1, Costa Adeje Tenerife W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Madrid CFF W and 1.69 for Costa Adeje Tenerife W. This points to a Costa Adeje Tenerife W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Madrid CFF W
6%
Draws
90%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Costa Adeje Tenerife W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Madrid CFF W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Costa Adeje Tenerife W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa de la Reina Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 13%
Costa Adeje Tenerife W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madrid CFF W Costa Adeje Tenerife W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Madrid CFF W
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Copa de la Reina Women
Madrid CFF W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Liga F Women
Costa Adeje Tenerife W vs Madrid CFF W
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Costa Adeje Tenerife W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madrid CFF W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Costa Adeje Tenerife W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouzraoui Diki S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madrid CFF W 10 / 100
Costa Adeje Tenerife W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madrid CFF W Costa Adeje Tenerife W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madrid CFF W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Costa Adeje Tenerife W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Madrid CFF W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Costa Adeje Tenerife W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madrid CFF W VS Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Guiniguada Apolinario W1
Dep. A Coruna W3
TBD-
Real Sociedad W-
CA Osasuna W0
Badalona W3
TBD-
Granada CF W-
Valencia W1
Espanyol W2
TBD-
Real Madrid W-
Alaves W4
Levante W0
TBD-
Barcelona W-
Sport Extremadura CD W1
Alhama W2
TBD-
Atl. Madrid W-
CE Europa W2
Logrono Dux W1
TBD-
Athletic Bilbao W-
Huelva W1
Madrid CFF W7
TBD-
Eibar W-
Real Oviedo W2
Sevilla W3
TBD-
Costa Adeje Tenerife W-
1/8-finals
Dep. A Coruna W1
Real Sociedad W4
Badalona W1
Granada CF W0
Espanyol W0
Real Madrid W4
Alaves W1
Barcelona W6
Alhama W1
Atl. Madrid W2
CE Europa W0
Athletic Bilbao W3
Madrid CFF W3
Eibar W2
Sevilla W1
Costa Adeje Tenerife W2
Quarter-finals
Real Sociedad W0
Badalona W1
Real Madrid W0
Barcelona W4
Atl. Madrid W4
Athletic Bilbao W1
Madrid CFF W0
Costa Adeje Tenerife W1
Semi-finals
Badalona W1
Barcelona W4
Atl. Madrid W2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W0
Final
Barcelona W3
Atl. Madrid W1