Sport Picks

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Madrid CFF W vs Sevilla W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Alvarez I.
26' Event
Hickmann M.
Assist: Andonova N.
32'
Ruiz A.

AI Match Summary

Madrid CFF W in this Liga F Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madrid CFF W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Madrid CFF W
15%
Draws
32%
Sevilla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madrid CFF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sevilla W have won more games recently than Madrid CFF W.
  • Model gives Madrid CFF W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Madrid CFF W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Madrid CFF W Clean Sheet 17%
Sevilla W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madrid CFF W Sevilla W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Sevilla W
1:0
May 11, 2026 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Sevilla W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Madrid CFF W
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Liga F Women
Sevilla W vs Madrid CFF W
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Liga F Women
Madrid CFF W vs Sevilla W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madrid CFF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hickmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sevilla W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madrid CFF W 66 / 100
Sevilla W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madrid CFF W Sevilla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madrid CFF W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madrid CFF W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sevilla W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Madrid CFF W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madrid CFF W VS Sevilla W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madrid CFF W

(Home)
19 Sept
Espanyol W
5 : 1
Madrid CFF W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
29 Aug
Madrid CFF W
3 : 1
Granada CF W
22 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 2
Madrid CFF W
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Sevilla W

(Away)
20 Sept
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
1 : 3
Sevilla W
12 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Sevilla W
05 Sept
Sevilla W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
29 Aug
Dep. A Coruna W
0 : 1
Sevilla W
19 Aug
Sevilla W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 30 29 0 1 130:9 87
2 Real Madrid W 30 23 3 4 65:18 72
3 Real Sociedad W 30 20 6 4 61:27 66
4 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 30 14 12 4 49:22 54
5 Atl. Madrid W 30 14 9 7 63:39 51
6 Granada CF W 30 13 6 11 36:42 45
7 Athletic Bilbao W 30 12 8 10 35:44 44
8 Sevilla W 30 12 5 13 33:46 41
9 Badalona W 30 10 9 11 28:46 39
10 Madrid CFF W 30 11 4 15 41:59 37
11 Espanyol W 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
12 Dep. A Coruna W 30 8 7 15 34:54 31
13 Eibar W 30 8 4 18 18:47 28
14 Logrono W 30 4 9 17 29:54 21
15 Alhama W 30 3 5 22 23:78 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 18:62 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Second stage)
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women (Main)