Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madura United vs Borneo

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Obieta K.
Assist: Peralta M.
31'
Nufiandani A.
42' Event
Nduwarugira C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Madura United host Borneo in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Borneo have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Madura United have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Madura United have won 1 to Borneo's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.00 - 2.25) back Borneo to edge this. Borneo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Madura United
6%
Draws
90%
Borneo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Borneo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Madura United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Borneo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Madura United Clean Sheet 10%
Borneo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United Borneo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Borneo
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Madura United
1:0
May 10, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Borneo
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Madura United
5:0
May 19, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Madura United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Obieta K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 10 / 100
Borneo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United Borneo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madura United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Borneo let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Madura United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Borneo lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS Borneo
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518