Sport Picks
Madura United vs Dewa United Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Super League 2025/2026 Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan 
Match Events
7'
7'
Junior Brandao
Assist: Iran Junior
32'
32'
Kambuaya R.
45'
45'
Jenner I.
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2025/2026 game between Madura United and Dewa United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madura United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Madura United haven't matched Dewa United's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Madura United Clean Sheet 17%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madura United | Dewa United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Dewa United
1:2
Oct 16, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Dewa United
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
3:3
Apr 25, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Junior Brandao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Dewa United Compare
Top Goalscorer Kambuaya R.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madura United 30 / 100
Dewa United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madura United Dewa United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madura United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Madura United has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Madura United scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Dewa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Madura United VS Dewa United
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Madura United
(Home) 18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0 Bali United
25 Apr
Madura United
1 : 2 Dewa United
Page 1 of 3
Dewa United
(Away) 20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3 Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2 FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1 Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3 Dewa United
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1 Dewa United
16 May
Persis Solo
1 : 0 Dewa United
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5 Dewa United
25 Apr
Madura United
1 : 2 Dewa United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Java United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
