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Madura United vs Dewa United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
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Match Events

7' Event
Junior Brandao
Assist: Iran Junior
32'
Kambuaya R.
45'
Jenner I.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Madura United and Dewa United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Madura United
33%
Draws
40%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Madura United haven't matched Dewa United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dewa United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Madura United Clean Sheet 14%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United Dewa United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Dewa United
1:2
Oct 16, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Dewa United
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
3:3
Apr 25, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Madura United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kambuaya R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 27 / 100
Dewa United 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United Dewa United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Madura United scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Dewa United let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Madura United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS Dewa United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518