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Madura United vs Malut United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Moreno de Franca G.
31' Event
da Silva D.
Assist: Tyronne
34'
da Silva D.

AI Match Summary

Malut United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malut United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Madura United
39%
Draws
31%
Malut United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Malut United have won more games recently than Madura United.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Madura United Clean Sheet 10%
Malut United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United Malut United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Malut United
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Super League
Malut United vs Madura United
4:1
Jan 10, 2025 Super League
Malut United vs Madura United
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs Malut United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lulinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Malut United Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 29 / 100
Malut United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United Malut United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madura United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Malut United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Madura United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS Malut United
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518