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Madura United vs Persik Kediri

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sanjaya R.
34' Event
Alesandro F.
Assist: Wehrmann J.
45'
Numberi G.

AI Match Summary

Madura United play Persik Kediri in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madura United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Persik Kediri averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Madura United won 3, Persik Kediri won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Madura United and 1.38 for Persik Kediri. This points to a Persik Kediri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Madura United
6%
Draws
4%
Persik Kediri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Persik Kediri has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Madura United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Madura United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Madura United Clean Sheet 17%
Persik Kediri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United Persik Kediri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Persik Kediri
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Madura United
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persik Kediri
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Madura United
1:0
Nov 8, 2023 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Madura United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Alesandro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riquelme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Persik Kediri Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanjaya R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 84 / 100
Persik Kediri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United Persik Kediri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madura United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Persik Kediri let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Madura United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persik Kediri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS Persik Kediri
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518