Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madura United vs PSM Makassar

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Cumic L.
16'
Lulinha
38'
Sub
Lulinha In: Sitanggang P.
Out: Lulinha

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Madura United and PSM Makassar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madura United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Madura United
11%
Draws
9%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • PSM Makassar's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Madura United have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives Madura United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Madura United Clean Sheet 68%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madura United PSM Makassar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Madura United
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
1:3
Oct 18, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Madura United
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs PSM Makassar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior Brandao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PSM Makassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madura United 86 / 100
PSM Makassar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madura United PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Madura United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Madura United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madura United VS PSM Makassar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Madura United

(Home)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1
Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1
Madura United
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0
Bali United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

PSM Makassar

(Away)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)