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Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Anderson
72' Event
Garcia Franca Maia R.
85' Event
Andrezinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Madureira U20 and Bangu U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madureira U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Madureira U20
35%
Draws
35%
Bangu U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Madureira U20 haven't matched Bangu U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Madureira U20 a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Madureira U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Bangu U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Madureira U20
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Bangu U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madureira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrezinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bangu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Franca Maia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 50 / 100
Bangu U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Bangu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madureira U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Bangu U20 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Madureira U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Bangu U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Madureira U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3
Madureira U20
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Bangu U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
26 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 3
Bangu U20
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
04 Sept
Bangu U20
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)