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Madureira U20 vs Fluminense U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Reis e Castro K. V.
49' Event
Wallace Davi
65' Event
Wallace Davi

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Madureira U20 and Fluminense U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Madureira U20
20%
Draws
60%
Fluminense U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense U20 come out ahead of Madureira U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense U20 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Fluminense U20
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 8 20
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:3
Apr 26, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Madureira U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madureira U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallace Davi
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reis e Castro K. V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 10 / 100
Fluminense U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Fluminense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Madureira U20 scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Madureira U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fluminense U20 conceded in 59% of 39 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Fluminense U20
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Madureira U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3
Madureira U20
29 Aug
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 1
Madureira U20
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)