Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Madureira U20 play Nova Iguacu U20 in the Copa Rio U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Madureira U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Nova Iguacu U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Madureira U20 won 3, Nova Iguacu U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Madureira U20 and 1.06 for Nova Iguacu U20. This points to a Madureira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Madureira U20
20%
Draws
38%
Nova Iguacu U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madureira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Madureira U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nova Iguacu U20.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Madureira U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Rio U20 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Madureira U20 Nova Iguacu U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Madureira U20
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Madureira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barros C. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Madureira U20 42 / 100
Nova Iguacu U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Madureira U20 Nova Iguacu U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Nova Iguacu U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Madureira U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nova Iguacu U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Madureira U20 VS Nova Iguacu U20
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113