Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Wallace Camilo
54'
54'
Anderson Rosa
84'
84'
Lohan
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Madureira haven't matched Portuguesa RJ's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Portuguesa RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Portuguesa RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Madureira Clean Sheet 19%
Portuguesa RJ Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Madureira | Portuguesa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
0:1
May 23, 2026 Serie D
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa RJ vs Madureira
0:0
Jan 26, 2026 Carioca
Madureira vs Portuguesa RJ
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Madureira Compare
Top Goalscorer Fashanu M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Portuguesa RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Anderson Rosa
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Madureira 32 / 100
Portuguesa RJ 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Madureira Portuguesa RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Madureira found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Portuguesa RJ conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Madureira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Madureira VS Portuguesa RJ
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Madureira
(Home) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1 Bonsucesso
06 Jun
Madureira
1 : 0 Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 4
Portuguesa RJ
(Away) 12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
05 Aug
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 1 Madureira
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0 Americano
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
12 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
0 : 0 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Madureira
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1 Portuguesa RJ
04 Jul
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3 Portuguesa RJ
06 Jun
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
