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MAFCO vs Ekhaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MAFCO host Ekhaya in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: MAFCO at 0.87 goals for, 1.3 against; Ekhaya at 1.07 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Ekhaya slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.19) back Ekhaya to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
MAFCO
30%
Draws
58%
Ekhaya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ekhaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ekhaya come out ahead of MAFCO on wins alone.
  • Ekhaya are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ekhaya here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 20%
Ekhaya Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAFCO Ekhaya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Super League
Ekhaya vs MAFCO
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Ekhaya
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Super League
Ekhaya vs MAFCO
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAFCO 28 / 100
Ekhaya 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAFCO Ekhaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekhaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

MAFCO's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ekhaya let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

MAFCO went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MAFCO VS Ekhaya
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MAFCO

(Home)
18 Oct
MAFCO
0 : 3
Big Bullets
10 Oct
Chitipa United
2 : 0
MAFCO
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
15 Aug
MAFCO
1 : 1
Masters FC
Page 1 of 6

Ekhaya

(Away)
18 Oct
Red Lions
0 : 0
Ekhaya
10 Oct
Ekhaya
2 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0
Karonga United
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
15 Aug
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Ekhaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 17 10 6 1 25:7 36
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 17 10 5 2 29:11 35
3 Blue Eagles 17 11 1 5 27:18 34
4 Silver Strikers 17 9 5 3 24:11 32
5 Chitipa United 17 7 3 7 13:19 24
6 Ekhaya 17 5 7 5 17:14 22
7 Masters FC 16 6 4 6 17:17 22
8 Mitundu Baptist 17 5 7 5 14:15 22
9 Red Lions 17 5 7 5 13:14 22
10 Moyale Barracks 17 5 6 6 17:20 21
11 Civo Utd 17 6 3 8 11:16 21
12 Dedza Dynamos 17 4 7 6 11:20 19
13 Karonga United 16 4 5 7 15:23 17
14 Kamuzu Barracks 17 3 4 10 16:25 13
15 Creck Sporting 17 3 4 10 13:22 13
16 MAFCO 17 3 4 10 12:22 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)