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MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Aliseni B.
77' Event
Kasonga P.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Nyirenda N.

AI Match Summary

Moyale Barracks in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moyale Barracks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
MAFCO
30%
Draws
62%
Moyale Barracks
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moyale Barracks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moyale Barracks lately — more wins on the board than MAFCO.
  • Model gives Moyale Barracks a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 22%
Moyale Barracks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAFCO Moyale Barracks
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League
MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO
1:1
May 24, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Super League
MAFCO vs Moyale Barracks
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MAFCO Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Moyale Barracks Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliseni B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyirenda N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAFCO 29 / 100
Moyale Barracks 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAFCO Moyale Barracks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moyale Barracks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAFCO's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Moyale Barracks let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

MAFCO has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MAFCO VS Moyale Barracks
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MAFCO

(Home)
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
15 Aug
MAFCO
1 : 1
Masters FC
08 Aug
MAFCO
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1
MAFCO
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Moyale Barracks

(Away)
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
08 Aug
Moyale Barracks
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)