Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mafra vs Alverca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event

AI Match Summary

Mafra in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mafra
15%
Draws
42%
Alverca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca haven't matched Mafra's recent run of results.
  • Mafra are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mafra Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Alverca
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.57 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Mafra vs Alverca
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Mafra
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Alverca vs Mafra
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs Alverca
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Mafra
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 68 / 100
Alverca 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Alverca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Alverca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mafra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS Alverca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
08 Aug
Mafra
5 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
01 Aug
Mafra
1 : 2
Sintrense
25 Jul
Mafra
1 : 0
Alverca
15 Jul
Fredericia
3 : 2
Mafra
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

Alverca

(Away)
09 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0
Alverca
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0
Sporting CP B
25 Jul
Mafra
1 : 0
Alverca
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 6