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Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mafra host CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mafra at 1.55 goals for, 1.39 against; CF Os Belenenses at 1.75 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor CF Os Belenenses slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.44) point toward CF Os Belenenses. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mafra
15%
Draws
53%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses have won more games recently than Mafra.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on CF Os Belenenses taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mafra Clean Sheet 16%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses
1:4
Nov 9, 2025 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 3
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses
1:1
Feb 2, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

CF Os Belenenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Mafra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS CF Os Belenenses
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
Page 1 of 7

CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 AD Marco 09 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
4 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
5 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Leca 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Lusitano GC 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Santarem 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)