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Mafra vs Louletano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mafra host Louletano in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. Louletano have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Mafra have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.57. Past meetings favor Mafra slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2015, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.19) back Louletano to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mafra
15%
Draws
42%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Louletano have won more games recently than Mafra.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mafra Clean Sheet 20%
Louletano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Louletano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mafra vs Louletano
1:0
Mar 28, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Louletano vs Mafra
0:1
Jan 20, 2013 Second Division - Zona Sul
Louletano vs Mafra
2:0
Sep 2, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Mafra vs Louletano
3:1
Mar 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Mafra vs Louletano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 31 / 100
Louletano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mafra scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mafra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Louletano let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS Louletano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
10 Oct
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Louletano
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 SC Vianense 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Mafra 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
5 Louletano 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
6 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
7 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
8 Covilha 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)