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Mafra vs Monsanto

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Mafra
15%
Draws
37%
Monsanto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mafra have won more games recently than Monsanto.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Mafra taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Sul 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mafra Clean Sheet 16%
Monsanto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mafra Monsanto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Mafra vs Monsanto
1:1
Nov 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Monsanto vs Mafra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mafra 48 / 100
Monsanto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mafra Monsanto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mafra scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Monsanto has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mafra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mafra VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mafra

(Home)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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Monsanto

(Away)
29 Apr
Monsanto
2 : 0
Atletico SC
22 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Monsanto
15 Apr
Monsanto
0 : 5
Fatima
07 Apr
Pinhalnovense
1 : 1
Monsanto
31 Mar
Monsanto
3 : 1
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatima 30 18 6 6 50:30 60
2 Oriental 30 16 8 6 49:17 56
3 Torreense 30 15 11 4 47:27 56
4 Carregado 30 15 8 7 57:38 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 16 5 9 47:32 53
6 Mafra 30 10 16 4 33:22 46
7 Louletano 30 13 7 10 28:33 46
8 Sertanense 30 11 10 9 37:32 43
9 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 11 5 14 35:34 38
10 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 30:34 35
11 1º Dezembro 30 8 10 12 28:29 34
12 Juv. Evora 30 9 5 16 29:42 32
13 Monsanto 30 6 11 13 25:41 29
14 Atletico SC 30 5 11 14 31:50 26
15 Moura AC 30 6 7 17 28:57 25
16 Caldas SC 30 3 9 18 17:53 18
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)