Sport Picks
Mafra vs Santa Clara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santa Clara have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Mafra have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Santa Clara slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring Santa Clara. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Santa Clara lately — more wins on the board than Mafra.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Santa Clara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Clara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mafra | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mafra's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Mafra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Santa Clara let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.