Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magallanes vs Copiapo

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lopez M.
15'
Lopez M.
19'
Quiroz J.

AI Match Summary

Copiapo in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Copiapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Magallanes
33%
Draws
27%
Copiapo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Magallanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Copiapo lately — more wins on the board than Magallanes.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Magallanes taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Copiapo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 68%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes Copiapo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Copiapo
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Magallanes
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Copiapo
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Liga de Primera
Copiapo vs Magallanes
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Liga de Primera
Magallanes vs Copiapo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorquera C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamorano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 50 / 100
Copiapo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes Copiapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Magallanes scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Copiapo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Copiapo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS Copiapo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes

(Home)
11 Jul
Magallanes
0 : 1
A. Italiano
04 Jul
Magallanes
1 : 2
Palestino
27 Jun
A. Italiano
2 : 1
Magallanes
20 Jun
Palestino
4 : 1
Magallanes
07 Jun
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Magallanes
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Copiapo

(Away)
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
26 Jun
Everton
3 : 0
Copiapo
20 Jun
Copiapo
0 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)