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Stadium Background

Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Santiago Bueras
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Arias D.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Espinola M. In: Gonzalez M.
Out: Espinola M.
53'
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

Magallanes host Deportes Santa Cruz in the Copa Chile. Little to choose between these two on current form. Magallanes have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Deportes Santa Cruz's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Magallanes have won 2 to Deportes Santa Cruz's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.63) point toward Magallanes. Magallanes in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Magallanes
22%
Draws
60%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Deportes Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Magallanes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Chile provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 14%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa Chile
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes
0:3
May 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magallanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fredes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Pardo C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes 19 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDSC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magallanes scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Deportes Santa Cruz let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Magallanes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Santa Cruz lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica550014:515
2Everton51229:95
3Copiapo51133:94
4San Luis50327:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta541011:513
2La Serena52127:97
3Cobreloa51226:65
4Cobresal50232:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz54109:313
2A. Italiano53028:79
3Palestino52129:77
4Magallanes50055:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt53118:410
2D. Concepcion53118:610
3Deportes Temuco51224:75
4Huachipato51046:93