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Magallanes W vs Palestino W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women Estadio Santiago Bueras, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Padron R.
13' Event
Padron R.
14'
Tapia A.

AI Match Summary

Palestino W in this Primera Division Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palestino W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Magallanes W
20%
Draws
29%
Palestino W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magallanes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palestino W lately — more wins on the board than Magallanes W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Magallanes W Clean Sheet 10%
Palestino W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magallanes W Palestino W
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Primera Division Women
Magallanes W vs Palestino W
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division Women
Palestino W vs Magallanes W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magallanes W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Palestino W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padron R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lizana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magallanes W 30 / 100
Palestino W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magallanes W Palestino W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palestino W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Palestino W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Magallanes W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Palestino W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magallanes W VS Palestino W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Magallanes W

(Home)
04 Sept
Magallanes W
6 : 0
S. Wanderers W
29 Aug
Magallanes W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
21 Aug
Magallanes W
1 : 4
Palestino W
15 Aug
Recoleta W
1 : 4
Magallanes W
12 Aug
Coquimbo W
2 : 2
Magallanes W
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Palestino W

(Away)
03 Oct
Coquimbo W
2 : 2
Palestino W
26 Sept
Palestino W
0 : 1
Coquimbo W
11 Sept
Palestino W
0 : 2
U. De Concepcion W
06 Sept
Deportes Iquique W
1 : 0
Palestino W
28 Aug
Palestino W
2 : 0
Coquimbo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 24 23 1 0 100:4 70
2 U. Catolica W 24 19 1 4 54:15 58
3 U. De Chile W 24 17 3 4 64:24 54
4 Coquimbo W 24 14 5 5 51:21 47
5 Palestino W 24 10 5 9 32:32 35
6 Huachipato W 24 9 6 9 28:40 33
7 U. Espanola W 24 9 5 10 26:28 32
8 Deportes Iquique W 24 9 4 11 36:36 31
9 Magallanes W 24 7 3 14 30:58 24
10 U. De Concepcion W 24 6 4 14 25:47 22
11 S. Wanderers W 24 5 5 14 18:44 20
12 Deportes Temuco W 24 4 2 18 22:65 14
13 Recoleta W 24 2 0 22 21:93 6
Promotion - Primera Division Women (Play Offs)