Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Magdeburg vs Karlsruher

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Avnet-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ben Farhat L.
Assist: Wanitzek M.
37'
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
46'
Sub
Jung S. In: Pinto Pedrosa R.
Out: Jung S.

AI Match Summary

Karlsruher in this 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlsruher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Magdeburg
17%
Draws
13%
Karlsruher
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Magdeburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magdeburg lately — more wins on the board than Karlsruher.
  • Model gives Magdeburg a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Karlsruher have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 16%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magdeburg Karlsruher
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Karlsruher
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Magdeburg
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Magdeburg
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Karlsruher
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Magdeburg
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magdeburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Stalmach D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Karlsruher Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Farhat L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wanitzek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magdeburg 66 / 100
Karlsruher 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magdeburg Karlsruher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlsruher let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Magdeburg scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Magdeburg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Magdeburg VS Karlsruher
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Schalke34217650:3170
2Elversberg34188864:3962
3Paderborn34188859:4562
4Hannover341612660:4460
5Darmstadt341313857:4552
6Kaiserslautern341641452:4752
7Hertha Berlin341491147:4451
8Nurnberg3412101247:4546
9Bochum3411111249:4744
10Karlsruher341281453:6444
11Dresden341181554:5341
12Holstein Kiel341181544:4841
13Arminia Bielefeld341091553:5139
14Magdeburg341231952:5839
15Braunschweig341071736:5437
16Greuther Furth341071749:6837
17Dusseldorf341141933:5337
18Preussen Munster346121638:6130