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Magdeburg vs RW Essen

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Atik B.
15' Event
Hugonet J.
Own Goal
32' Event
Martinovic D.

AI Match Summary

RW Essen in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored RW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Magdeburg
44%
Draws
20%
RW Essen
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • RW Essen have won more games recently than Magdeburg.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RW Essen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 17%
RW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magdeburg RW Essen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Magdeburg vs RW Essen
2:5
May 24, 2008 Regionalliga North
Magdeburg vs RW Essen
0:1
Nov 17, 2007 Regionalliga North
RW Essen vs Magdeburg
2:0
Mar 15, 2002 Regionalliga North
RW Essen vs Magdeburg
5:1
Sep 14, 2001 Regionalliga North
Magdeburg vs RW Essen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magdeburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Atik B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El-Zein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

RW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mizuta K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magdeburg 36 / 100
RW Essen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magdeburg RW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magdeburg scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

RW Essen has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Magdeburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magdeburg VS RW Essen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magdeburg

(Home)
18 Jul
Schoningen
0 : 4
Magdeburg
12 Jul
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 4
Magdeburg
17 May
Magdeburg
0 : 1
Kaiserslautern
09 May
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Magdeburg
03 May
Magdeburg
1 : 0
Hertha Berlin
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RW Essen

(Away)
17 Jul
Ried
3 : 0
RW Essen
11 Jul
RW Essen
5 : 1
SW Essen
04 Jul
VFB Bottrop
0 : 11
RW Essen
26 May
Greuther Furth
2 : 0
RW Essen
22 May
RW Essen
1 : 0
Greuther Furth
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