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Mageense vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Braga R.
39' Event
Braga R.
56' Event
Lima R.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Mageense and 7 de Abril finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 7 de Abril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mageense
20%
Draws
64%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mageense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 7 de Abril are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mageense Clean Sheet 16%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense 7 de Abril
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 5 4
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.05 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2024 Carioca B2
Mageense vs 7 de Abril
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mageense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lima R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 19 / 100
7 de Abril 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

7 de Abril let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Away concern: 7 de Abril has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mageense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS 7 de Abril
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

7 de Abril

(Away)
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
27 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)