Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mageense vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ruan
14' Event
Guilherme Silveira
24' Event
Jonnes

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Mageense and Niteroiense finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Niteroiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Mageense
30%
Draws
62%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Niteroiense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Niteroiense a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mageense Clean Sheet 16%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mageense Niteroiense
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.05 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Carioca B2
Mageense vs Niteroiense
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mageense Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Silveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mageense 10 / 100
Niteroiense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mageense Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Niteroiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Mageense found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).

Recent resilience: Mageense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mageense VS Niteroiense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mageense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

Niteroiense

(Away)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)