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Magenta vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Magenta play Auckland City in the OFC Champions League 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Magenta averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. Auckland City averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Magenta won 1, Auckland City won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Magenta and 1.88 for Auckland City. This points to a Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Magenta
44%
Draws
20%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Magenta.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Champions League 2019 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Magenta Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Auckland City
Matches Played 28 46
Wins 15 30
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2024 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Auckland City
2:1
Feb 24, 2019 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
2:1
Feb 21, 2011 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 23, 2010 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Magenta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemia K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maitran K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Leaalafa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 34 / 100
Auckland City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magenta scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Auckland City let in goals in 59% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Magenta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Auckland City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Central Sport0
Magenta8
Auckland City4
Lae City0
Hienghene Sport2
Ba1
Team Wellington6
Henderson Eels1
Semi-finals
Magenta2
Auckland City1
Hienghene Sport2
Team Wellington0
Final
Magenta0
Hienghene Sport1