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Magenta vs Hienghene Sport Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Nemia K.
40'
Yentao W.
59'
Simane D.

AI Match Summary

Hienghene Sport in this OFC Champions League 2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Magenta
15%
Draws
0%
Hienghene Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magenta lately — more wins on the board than Hienghene Sport.
  • Model gives Magenta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Magenta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hienghene Sport, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Magenta Clean Sheet 20%
Hienghene Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Hienghene Sport
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.39 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2019 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Hienghene Sport
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hienghene Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Roine A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 85 / 100
Hienghene Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Hienghene Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Hienghene Sport registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Magenta's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hienghene Sport has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Magenta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Hienghene Sport
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Hienghene Sport

(Away)
18 Nov
Hienghene Sport
0 : 4
Thionville
18 Feb
Tiga Sport
2 : 0
Hienghene Sport
11 Feb
Hienghene Sport
1 : 3
Tiga Sport
29 Oct
St Quentin
2 : 1
Hienghene Sport
13 Aug
Venus
4 : 0
Hienghene Sport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Central Sport 0
Magenta 8
Auckland City 4
Lae City 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Ba 1
Team Wellington 6
Henderson Eels 1
Semi-finals
Magenta 2
Auckland City 1
Hienghene Sport 2
Team Wellington 0
Final
Magenta 0
Hienghene Sport 1