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Magenta vs Lupe ole Soaga Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sele R.
39' Event
Ounei E.
44'
Sub
Laloata V. In: Tanoa'i T.
Out: Laloata V.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2018 game between Magenta and Lupe ole Soaga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Magenta
15%
Draws
39%
Lupe ole Soaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magenta come out ahead of Lupe ole Soaga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lupe ole Soaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Magenta Clean Sheet 10%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Magenta Lupe ole Soaga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.39 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Lupe ole Soaga
2:0
Feb 25, 2017 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Magenta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sele R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ounei E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Magenta 10 / 100
Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Magenta Lupe ole Soaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magenta found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Lupe ole Soaga conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Magenta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Magenta VS Lupe ole Soaga
2.13 Goals Scored 4.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Magenta

(Home)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
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Lupe ole Soaga

(Away)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)